Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNot before 2030 46.8%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Eki 23 07:20 UTC2 Oca 30 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be significant and successful effort to ban Kalshi & Polymarket in the USA before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant retraction to the AARO 2024 UAP report before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiKurallar
The last major change to timekeeping in the US was in 2007, when the start and end dates of daylight saving time were adjusted.
- More recently, proposals including the Sunshine Protection Act and similar bills in various states, have sought to change official time standards.
- These have inspired other Manifold questions such as @/dreev/will-the-us-make-daylight-savings-t.
- Will any of these proposals be implemented in the 2020s? In what year?
- "Significant" means that it affects the entirety of a populated subdivision, that is, a state, the District of Columbia, or a territory with a permanent population.
- (For Arizona, this may be just the part of the state outside the Navajo Nation and Hopi Reservation.) This means, for example, redrawing time zone boundaries so that they don't pass through certain states wouldn't count.