Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2027 48%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
20
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+15.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Oca 26 08:30 UTC31 Ara 30 22:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
a lot of valuations in the market are high by historical standards. most pundits agree that this is due to strong believes about the value of AI and the promises of AGI.
- A "crash" is understood to be a more than 15% downward correction in the market within a week where the Economist (as proxy for good punditry) writes that this is mostly or exclusively due to changing believes in AI and AI-fuelled valuations.
Açık piyasalar
AI
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+21.1pt73.8%
- September 23+4.1pt10.3%
- September 24-2.7pt7.5%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺11,5 Mn
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-3.0pt28%
- Mark Carney-2.0pt20%
- Donald Trump-1.0pt10%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺73,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺247 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,2 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.1pt68.9%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt15.5%
- Gemini-1.6pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺574,5 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 2026+0.2pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,7 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.3pt98%
- Google-0.1pt1%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Best AI this week
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will the AI bubble crash? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2027 için 48% fiyatlıyor.
- When will the AI bubble crash? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will the AI bubble crash? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- When will the AI bubble crash? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: a lot of valuations in the market are high by historical standards. most pundits agree that this is due to strong believes about the value of AI and the promises of AGI.