When will Starship successfully land for the first time? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 30 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Before 2028-01-01 için 90.9% fiyatlıyor.

When will Starship successfully land for the first time? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

When will Starship successfully land for the first time? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Before 2028-01-01 90.9%

11 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

7g Değişim

0.0 pts

Piyasa verileri

10 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

18 Mar 25 21:27 UTC1 Oca 28 06:59 UTC

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Kurallar

Resolves YES for all time ranges before which there is a flight in which Starship and its booster both successfully land.

Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
Primary source: The result will resolve based on a consensus of news media reports.
Secondary source: If there is no news media consensus, the resolution will follow SpaceX's statement.
Fallback: In the absence of a clear statement from SpaceX, the resolution will be based on a personal assessment: whether both the booster and Starship appear to have landed and remain undamaged.
Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Landing Site Clarification: