Güncel topluluk tahmini
Before 2028-01-01 95.5%11 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
30
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Mar 25 21:27 UTC1 Oca 28 06:59 UTC
Trendler
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
KalshiWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurKurallar
Resolves YES for all time ranges before which there is a flight in which Starship and its booster both successfully land.
- Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
- Primary source: The result will resolve based on a consensus of news media reports.
- Secondary source: If there is no news media consensus, the resolution will follow SpaceX's statement.
- Fallback: In the absence of a clear statement from SpaceX, the resolution will be based on a personal assessment: whether both the booster and Starship appear to have landed and remain undamaged.
- Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Landing Site Clarification:
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-5.0pt58.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+4.0pt41.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺66,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺62,5 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+72.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-25.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-10.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+37.0pt99%
- Houston+67.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+13.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+57.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-4.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-46.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺63 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+6.0pt34%
- 160-179+4.0pt26.2%
- 200-219-3.0pt17.5%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Starship successfully land for the first time? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before 2028-01-01 için 96% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Starship successfully land for the first time? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Starship successfully land for the first time? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- When will Starship successfully land for the first time? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES for all time ranges before which there is a flight in which Starship and its booster both successfully land.