Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
17 Tem 2026 19:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel topluluk tahminiBefore 2027-07-01 86.8%-2.3pt8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 May 24 13:251 Tem 27 21:59
Trendler
0%
0%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Before 2027-01-0122%
Platformları karşılaştır· Before 2027-07-01
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%88 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Düşük | 35% | — | ₺1,2 B | ₺997,2 B | 8 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 87% | — | — | — | 10 gün önce |
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
5.0 pts5ay
-5.0pt35%
13%
2%
49 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺2,7 Mn
24s Hacim₺1,2 B
KALSHIKurallar
As of May 2024, SpaceX and FAA are going through the Environmental assessment to clear SpaceX Starship rocket to be launched from Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
- It is anticipated that for Artemis III mission both launch location will be used.
- This question will resolve positively as soon as an orbital launch is attempted with Starship+Superheavy rocket from a launch pad in Kennedy Space Center.
- The question resolves positively even if the launch fails after the takeoff.
- Suborbital launches do not count.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$279 Tem4g veri17 Tem
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As of May 2024, SpaceX and FAA are going through the Environmental assessment to clear SpaceX Starship rocket to be launched from Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
- It is anticipated that for Artemis III mission both launch location will be used.
- This question will resolve positively as soon as an orbital launch is attempted with Starship+Superheavy rocket from a launch pad in Kennedy Space Center.
- The question resolves positively even if the launch fails after the takeoff.
- Suborbital launches do not count.
- I do not bet on my own questions.