Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminibefore Mar 31, 2028 79%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Ara 25 11:58 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if he makes an official public announcement that she is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by him or an authorized spokesperson that he is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
