When will Michelle O’Neill be replaced as First Minister of Northern Ireland?
PolitikaOne-OffABD Siyaseti3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
2026 16.8%11 seçenek arasında lider
2026 16.8%Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Şub 24 13:33 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
After Sinn Fein became the largest party in the Northern Ireland assembly in the 2022 elections, and after the DUP spent two years agreed to reconvene the Assembly after blocking it for two years under the power sharing agreement, Michelle O’Neill has today become the First Minister of Northern Ireland.
- Her appointment is significant since she becomes the first Irish nationalist in the role - all of her predecessors were Unionists:
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Minister_and_deputy_First_Minister_of_Northern_Ireland
- When will she be replaced as First Minister?
- Market notes:
- If the Northern Ireland Assembly is dissolved again, this market will resolve to the date when someone who isn’t Michelle O’Neill takes over as First Minister rather than the date when she stops doing the job.
