Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2027-2029 60.6%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
412
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Eki 23 12:32 UTC11 Kas 30 22:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketKurallar
Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office.
- If he is elected to a second term, he would start it at 82.
- There have been a number of rumors and specualtions about his health, with many conservative pundits claiming he is suffering from dementia.
- On the other hand, routine medical check-ups describe him as "vigorous":
- https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-health-bdce6c15df6186e06710f2d903a3513e
- [link preview]
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺37,8 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.6pt96%
- $25M+1.5pt94%
- $50M+1.0pt88%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.2pt49.1%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-5.0pt12.3%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺12,2 Mn
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Joe Biden die? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2027-2029 için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Joe Biden die? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Joe Biden die? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 11 Kasım 2030.
- When will Joe Biden die? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office.