When will I create a PR to allow resolving options in multiple-choice markets to NO?
One-OffTeknoloji2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiBefore 2050 56.7%11 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Eyl 25 17:22 UTC2 Oca 27 18:06 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
When I refer to a "multiple-choice market", I mean one where the probability of all choices always add up to 100%.
- This also includes at least some forms of date and numeric markets.
- Right now, all mana invested in this type of market remains tied up until the winning choice has been selected.
- It would be far more optimal for prediction accuracy and mana management if guaranteed-wrong options could be resolved NO as they become guaranteed-wrong.
- A "PR" refers to a GitHub Pull Request, and it is the mechanism by which code changes to manifold are currently proposed.
- This market will resolve based on whether/when I submit an as-described change to Manifold, regardless of whether it's accepted or whether the exact mechanism is a GitHub PR.
