Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiBefore Nov 2026 30.4%+24.0pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+24.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
14 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Tem 26 19:41 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which Anthropic officially makes a model from the "Fable" family (such as Claude Fable 5 or any successor model) available as part of the standard Claude Pro subscription plan ($20/month) after the announced removal by July 20.
- To qualify for resolution, the model must meet the following criteria:
- It must be accessible broadly to Claude Pro subscribers in the United States within their standard subscription allowance (possibly subject to additional message/rate limits).
- Access must not require spending usage credits or pay-per-use fees.
- Access must not require upgrading to a higher-priced tier (such as Claude Max or Team Premium).
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-8.0pt23%
- Mark Carney-15.0pt15%
- Donald Trump11%
+37 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺72,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,3 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt69.9%
- ChatGPT+0.9pt13.6%
- Gemini-1.6pt8.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺571,5 Mn
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+45.5pt84.3%
- September 22-13.1pt5.9%
- September 24-7.0pt2%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+8.0pt79%
- December 15,+10.0pt75%
- November 30,+8.5pt54%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt87%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt84%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺107,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.5pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Fable return to the Pro plan? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 21 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Nov 2026 için 30% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Fable return to the Pro plan? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Fable return to the Pro plan? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- When will Fable return to the Pro plan? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria