Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 17:10 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiBefore 2040 83.5%+33.5pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+33.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Eki 26 17:10 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves according to the date when the first general public stable channel release of either upstream Chromium or Mozilla Firefox is officially published that completely drops the ability to run natively under the X Window System on Linux.
- This means that standard release builds can no longer run as an X11 client natively (e.g., removing the X11 backend.
- I'm referring to a loose idea of "standard, upstream, stable channel, release build" in that, e.g. distro packages patching in support don't count, beta versions don't count, etc. "Locked behind a non-default runtime option" doesn't count as not supporting X11, "locked behind a non-default compile-time option" counts as not supporting X11.