Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
2031-2035 34.2%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Ara 24 18:31 UTC1 Oca 00 07:59 UTC
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In which calendar year will a film adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality (HPMOR) first become publicly available, meeting all of the criteria below?
- Resolution Criteria
- Length: The final product must be at least 60 minutes in total runtime.
- Based on HPMOR: It should be a recognizable adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality.
- Minimal or moderate changes from the text are acceptable (as is typical when adapting from a written work to film).
- Public Release: The complete film must be publicly accessible in some form—e.g. YouTube, a streaming platform, direct download, or even a limited theatrical release.
Açık piyasalar
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+6.5pt73.3%
- 940 - 950m-5.5pt22.8%
- 970m++0.6pt2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+15.0pt57%
- Jack Barton-13.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-10.0pt16%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺102,2 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+29.4pt51.4%
- No Bond chosen-3.9pt18.1%
- Jack Barton-4.5pt7.6%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-58.0pt16%
- Above 50-61.0pt4%
- Above 55-51.0pt2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,6 Mn
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-3.0pt39.2%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt9.6%
- The Black Ball-1.0pt8.8%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺238,3 Mn
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Sık sorulan sorular
- What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2031-2035 için 34% fiyatlıyor.
- What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.
- What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: In which calendar year will a film adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality (HPMOR) first become publicly available, meeting all of the criteria below?