Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiShooter captured alive before Oct. 1st 100%62 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
252
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Eyl 25 19:17 UTC11 Eyl 26 19:13 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
Manifold MarketsWhat is true about Erika Kirk (Charlie Kirk’s widow) after the funeral ceremony.
Manifold MarketsWill Israel election happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.
- Try to keep it to things that can be connected to this event! I'll avoid betting in this market on anything where there could be ambiguity.
- Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Another political assassination (either side)": There must be some proven link - inspiration, direct influence, etc - between the Kirk assassination and anything that would give this a YES resolution.
- Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Any left-wing group is legally designated as a 'terrorist organization'": A state or local designation doesn't count for this - it has to be federal (even if it's unconstitutional or otherwise goes through the improper channels, such as an executive order).
Açık piyasalar
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-5.0pt45%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Ethereum (ETH)-7.0pt35%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺33,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺146,9 B
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,4 B
- 24s Hacim
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15,3 B
- 24s Hacim
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,7 B
- 24s Hacim
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Sık sorulan sorular
- What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 11 Eylül 2026.
- What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.