What major event will precipitate the next run on toilet paper in the United States?

Trade PolicyOne-OffHealth & Medicine11ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

18 Tem 2026 00:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

A new global pandemic 5.7%

22 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

8 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

17 Tem 25 0:1417 Tem 27 0:13

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

A new global pandemic6%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the first major event that leads to a significant run on toilet paper in the United States.
A "run" is defined as a nationwide shortage reported by major news outlets, characterized by widespread consumer stockpiling and empty shelves across multiple states.
The event must be identified as the primary cause of the shortage.
If multiple events occur simultaneously, the market will resolve to the event most widely recognized as the catalyst.
Reliable sources such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or major national newspapers will be used to determine the outcome.

Hacim trendi

17 Tem2g veri18 Tem

İlgili Piyasalar

Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?

₺555,7 B

December 31: 62%

POLYMARKET

US charges Hormuz fees by which date?

₺357,3 B

December 31: 11%

POLYMARKET

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

₺280,1 B

Before 2027: 7%

KALSHI

What will Ferrari say during their next earnings call?

₺218,6 B

Tariff: 70%

KALSHI

Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?

₺94,7 B

Evet: 13.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will Boeing say during their next earnings call?

₺71,6 B

Tariff: 25%

KALSHI

Bu konularda aktif

BitcoinBTC$64,509.15+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,885.63+1.48%

SolanaSOL$75.12+1.55%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.91%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.36%

BNBBNB$570.86+0.92%

İlgili Haberler

Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slips below $65K as Trump unveils new global tariffsCrypto News

Polymarket 2028 odds stay split as Vance leads 19.95% amid Trump tariff jittersBlockchain.News

Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.25% despite tariff turmoilBlockchain.News

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto News

Kurallar

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the first major event that leads to a significant run on toilet paper in the United States.
A "run" is defined as a nationwide shortage reported by major news outlets, characterized by widespread consumer stockpiling and empty shelves across multiple states.
The event must be identified as the primary cause of the shortage.
If multiple events occur simultaneously, the market will resolve to the event most widely recognized as the catalyst.
Reliable sources such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or major national newspapers will be used to determine the outcome.