Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 93.7%
Tahminciler
31
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Kas 25 23:48 UTC19 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill any SSRIs be DEA-scheduled before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump leaves office before the end of his current term (January 20, 2029) for any reason directly related to the Epstein files or documents.
- This includes resignation, impeachment and conviction, or removal via the 25th Amendment if explicitly triggered by Epstein-related revelations or political pressure stemming from the files.
- The market resolves NO if Trump completes his term or leaves office for unrelated reasons (health, other scandals, etc.).
- If Trump leaves office and the primary cause is ambiguous or disputed, resolution will be determined by the creator's assessment of whether Epstein files were a material factor in the departure.
- Trump promised during the 2024 election to release the Justice Department's "Epstein files," but his administration has resisted doing so.
