Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 80%
Tahminciler
33
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
42 dakika önce güncellendi
20 Şub 25 20:59 UTC1 Oca 30 10:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Donald Trump attempts to withdraw from NATO
Manifold MarketsTrump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term?
Manifold MarketsTrump attempts to reduce DARPA funding by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiKurallar
According to a YouGov poll 52% believe that Trump "definitely" or "probably" will attempt a 3rd term.
- Resolves YES if there is clear and unequivocal evidence that Trump:
- Runs for a 3rd presidential term
- Attempts to subvert the 22nd Amendment in any (serious) way (e.g. through executive orders, trying to change the constitution, legal challenge, or campaigning)
- Prevents a peaceful transition of power
- Tries in some serious way to stay in power past January 20, 2029