Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Yes (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 13 Ağu 2026 07:15
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
Yes
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
—
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 99%
Tahminciler
19
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Tem 26 5:5913 Ağu 26 7:15
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
Kurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States military conducts at least one kinetic strike (including airstrikes, drone strikes, missile strikes, or naval/artillery bombardment) within the internationally recognized territorial borders of Iran (including its mainland and sovereign islands) at any point from August 1, 2026, to August 31, 2026, inclusive.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details:
- Target Location: Strikes must hit targets physically located within Iran's sovereign territory.
- Cyberattacks, kinetic strikes against Iranian-aligned proxy forces outside of Iran (e.g., in Iraq, Syria, or Yemen), or maritime blockades/ship disabling in international waters do not count unless accompanied by kinetic strikes on Iranian territory.
