Talarico and El-Sayed combined margin of victory of 10% or more? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 26 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 64.3% fiyatlıyor.

Talarico and El-Sayed combined margin of victory of 10% or more? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Talarico and El-Sayed combined margin of victory of 10% or more? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Kasım 2026.

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26 Eki 2026 07:03 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 64.3%

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7 saat önce güncellendi

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22 Eki 26 23:10 UTC4 Kas 26 23:59 UTC

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Resolves YES if James Talarico (texas senate) and Abdul el sayed (Michigan senate) combined margin of victory is 10% or more.

Margin of victory is their vote percent total minus the second place candidates vote percent total.
If they lose, their margin of victory will be a negative number.
For example if Talarico wins by 4% and el sayed by 7%, this market will resolve yes.(11% more than 10%)
If Talarico wins by 3% and el sayed by 3%, this would resolve no (6% less than 10%)
If Talarico loses by 2% and el sayed wins by 2%, then this would resolve no (-2+2+0, which is less than 10)