Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 59.8%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Ağu 26 17:40 UTC29 Nis 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 30th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the end of April 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Açık piyasalar
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+16.4pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,6 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.2pt98%
- Yes-0.2pt2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺386,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt64%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket] için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket] ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket] için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 29 Nisan 2027.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket] nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the end of April 2027.