Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 21:13 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 63.9%
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Ağu 26 17:40 UTC29 Nis 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]
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Manifold MarketsIf traffic at the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal before April 1, 2027, will US gasoline prices exceed $3.25 for the week ending June 29, 2027?
ForecastExIf traffic at the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal before April 1, 2027, will US gasoline prices exceed $4.25 for the week ending June 29, 2027?
ForecastExKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the end of April 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
