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  3. Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?
Manifold Markets

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçimEurope3y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKYC yok
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Manifold Markets
**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority 6%
Tahminciler

11

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

1 dakika önce guncellendi

20 Haz 26 10:5531 Ara 29 23:59

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Sonuç24sOlasılık
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority6%

Kurallar

Labour may or may not be about to replace Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham.

Manifold Markets
  • The major reason they're considering this because they hope it'll improve their chances in the next election.
  • This is a "Decision Market", in which you can bet on labour to win in either case - in principle, this could help Labour make that big decision!
  • Here's how it works.
  • Suppose for a moment that Burnham becomes labour leader.
  • Then there will be refunds for everyone who bet Assuming Starmer is Labour leader - whether they bet labour wins or they bet labour loses.

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Kurallar

Labour may or may not be about to replace Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham.

Manifold Markets
  • The major reason they're considering this because they hope it'll improve their chances in the next election.
  • This is a "Decision Market", in which you can bet on labour to win in either case - in principle, this could help Labour make that big decision!
  • Here's how it works.
  • Suppose for a moment that Burnham becomes labour leader.
  • Then there will be refunds for everyone who bet Assuming Starmer is Labour leader - whether they bet labour wins or they bet labour loses.