Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 57.7%
Tahminciler
49
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
29 dakika önce güncellendi
16 May 25 17:34 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by which date?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator John Fetterman officially changes his party affiliation from the Democratic Party to any other party or to Independent before the conclusion of the 2028 United States presidential election.
- The change must be publicly announced and reflected in official records, such as the U.S. Senate's party affiliation listings.
- If no such change occurs by the date of the 2028 election, the market will resolve to "No."
- Senator John Fetterman, representing Pennsylvania, has been a member of the Democratic Party throughout his political career.
- In early 2025, speculation arose regarding a potential party switch due to his collaborations with Republican figures and support for certain policies aligned with the GOP.