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  3. Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Manifold Markets

Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?

PolitikaOne-OffEuropeSeçim12ay
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKYC yok
Güncel topluluk tahmini
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Below - 1 10.8%
8 seçenek arasında lider
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2

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multiple choice

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

5 saat önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis
18 Haz 26 12:5718 Haz 27 21:59

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Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Below - 111%

Kurallar

n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.

Manifold Markets
  • V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
  • Resolves to V − n
  • Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V.
  • Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.

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Kurallar

n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.

Manifold Markets
  • V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
  • Resolves to V − n
  • Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V.
  • Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.