Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 97.3%
Tahminciler
46
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
42 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Oca 26 02:27 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by which date?
PolymarketUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reza Pahlavi physically enters Iran at any point between now and 11:59PM Iran Standard Time December 31, 2026.
- Resolution requires credible reporting from major news outlets confirming his entry into Iranian territory.
- The market resolves NO if he does not enter Iran by the end of 2026.
- Reza Pahlavi, 65, has lived in exile in the United States for almost five decades, having left Iran in 1978 before the Islamic Revolution.
- Beginning on 28 December 2025, mass demonstrations erupted across Iran amid a deepening economic crisis and a general dissatisfaction with the Islamic Republic government, evolving into the largest uprising since the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests, and potentially the largest since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.