Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 95.2%
Tahminciler
43
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
21 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Oca 26 02:27 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reza Pahlavi physically enters Iran at any point between now and 11:59PM Iran Standard Time December 31, 2026.
- Resolution requires credible reporting from major news outlets confirming his entry into Iranian territory.
- The market resolves NO if he does not enter Iran by the end of 2026.
- Reza Pahlavi, 65, has lived in exile in the United States for almost five decades, having left Iran in 1978 before the Islamic Revolution.
- Beginning on 28 December 2025, mass demonstrations erupted across Iran amid a deepening economic crisis and a general dissatisfaction with the Islamic Republic government, evolving into the largest uprising since the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests, and potentially the largest since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.
Açık piyasalar
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺55,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺21,4 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.5pt80.2%
- Yes-4.5pt19.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺526,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14 Mn
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+5.0pt58.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt28.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Al Nassr vs Abha
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by end of year 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by end of year 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by end of year 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by end of year 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria