Güncel topluluk tahmini
No preference 42.1%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
75
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-25.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Oca 24 10:05 UTC2 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
As of January 2024, the most popular AI prefers being called "it":
- [image]Resolution criteria (provisional; feedback wanted):
- Though defined originally as an independent market, I will be evaluating this as a dependent market (i.e. I will choose only one answer as the winner).
- On the first day of 2027, I'll ask the most popular AI what its preferred pronouns are, and its answer will resolve this market.
- "the named outcome" gets chosen if the AI doesn't respond in a straightforward and consistent manner.
- "the named outcome" refers to the case mentioned by niko here:
Açık piyasalar
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Pronouns of most popular AI after 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No preference için 42% fiyatlıyor.
- Pronouns of most popular AI after 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Pronouns of most popular AI after 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2027.
- Pronouns of most popular AI after 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As of January 2024, the most popular AI prefers being called "it":