Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiI get demoted from master once 100%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Ara 25 08:35 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
Predict my 2026 journey on manifold.
- Will not bet besides setting initial odds
- Resolution Criteria
- Each answer resolves YES or NO based on whether the specified event occurs at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Net worth includes both the creator's bots and their main account combined.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-8.0pt23%
- Mark Carney-15.0pt15%
- Donald Trump11%
+37 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺72,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,3 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt69.9%
- ChatGPT+0.9pt13.6%
- Gemini-1.6pt8.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺571,5 Mn
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+45.5pt84.3%
- September 22-13.1pt5.9%
- September 24-7.0pt2%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+8.0pt79%
- December 15,+10.0pt75%
- November 30,+8.5pt54%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt87%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt84%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺107,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.5pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Predict my 2026 manifold journey için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 21 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla I get demoted from master once için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- Predict my 2026 manifold journey ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Predict my 2026 manifold journey için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Predict my 2026 manifold journey nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Predict my 2026 journey on manifold.