Güncel topluluk tahmini
2030-12-31 / 31st December 2030 50%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Tem 26 22:59 UTC31 Ara 35 00:00 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Each answer resolves YES if Andy Burnham’s successor is Prime Minister at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer AND has been so continuously since their appointment.
- If they lose their job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.
- Add more dates if you want more granularity.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt43%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- On what dates will Andy Burnham’s successor be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2030-12-31 / 31st December 2030 için 50% fiyatlıyor.
- On what dates will Andy Burnham’s successor be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- On what dates will Andy Burnham’s successor be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2035.
- On what dates will Andy Burnham’s successor be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Each answer resolves YES if Andy Burnham’s successor is Prime Minister at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer AND has been so continuously since their appointment.