Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 97.6%
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Nis 25 00:45 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Donald Trump run for a third term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill Trump participate in an election for a third term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third term?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Barack Obama publicly announces his candidacy for a third term as President of the United States before January 1, 2028.
- It resolves NO if he does not make such an announcement by that date.
- The 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, ratified in 1951, states: "No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice." Barack Obama served two full terms as President from 2009 to 2017, which would constitutionally prohibit him from being elected to a third term.
- Considerations
- For this market to resolve YES, Obama would need to either:
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.7pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Obama announces third term candidacy before 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- Obama announces third term candidacy before 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Obama announces third term candidacy before 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Obama announces third term candidacy before 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria