Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 70.2%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
19 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Mar 26 17:31 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- The 2026 New Zealand general election is scheduled for 7 November 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Labour forms a government following the election without requiring confidence and supply or coalition support from Te Pāti Māori.
- This includes scenarios where Labour governs alone or with support from other parties (such as the Green Party or New Zealand First), but excludes any arrangement requiring Te Pāti Māori's parliamentary support.
- Resolution will be determined by official government formation announcements from the Governor-General and confirmed through New Zealand Parliament records at parliament.nz.
- Te Pāti Māori received 88,000 votes at the last election, or just over 3% of the total party vote, and took six of the seven Māori electorate seats.