Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 70.2%
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8
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binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
43 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Mar 26 17:31 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern
Manifold MarketsWho will be the leader of New Zealand Labour going into the 2026 election? / Which party will the PM be from?
Manifold MarketsWhich coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PolymarketWhich parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWhich main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsHow many Israeli elections until a government forms?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 New Zealand general election is scheduled for 7 November 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Labour forms a government following the election without requiring confidence and supply or coalition support from Te Pāti Māori.
- This includes scenarios where Labour governs alone or with support from other parties (such as the Green Party or New Zealand First), but excludes any arrangement requiring Te Pāti Māori's parliamentary support.
- Resolution will be determined by official government formation announcements from the Governor-General and confirmed through New Zealand Parliament records at parliament.nz.
- Te Pāti Māori received 88,000 votes at the last election, or just over 3% of the total party vote, and took six of the seven Māori electorate seats.
Açık piyasalar
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Sık sorulan sorular
- New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
- New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria