Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 95.1%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Kas 25 14:03 UTC1 Oca 27 08:43 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?
Manifold MarketsWill Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurTop Open Source AI this week
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the complete source code of Minecraft: Java Edition is released under an open source license (OSI-approved or equivalent) that permits free use, modification, and redistribution.
- The source code must be publicly available in its entirety, not merely select libraries or components.
- Resolution can be verified via official Minecraft/Microsoft announcements or the official GitHub repository.
- This market resolves NO if the game remains closed-source or if only partial libraries continue to be released without the full codebase becoming open source.
- Original Minecraft creator Notch stated he would release the game source code as open source once sales start dying and a minimum time has passed.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- $75,600 or above99%
- $75,500 or above99%
- $75,400 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺111,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺84,1 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $70,000 or above99%
- $68,000 or above99%
- $67,500 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺72,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺71,2 Mn
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $75,883.08 target
- No60%
- Yes40%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺111,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $66,000 or above98%
- $67,000 or above98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺48,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Seattle+91.0pt99%
- Chicago+24.0pt99%
- Miami-1.0pt67%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11,3 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 200-219+5.0pt29.4%
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 220-239+1.0pt18.6%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- ETH price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria