Güncel topluluk tahmini
2027-01-01 to 2027-06-30 72.1%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+50.1 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Eki 25 15:22 UTC1 Oca 28 16:20 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies (shortened as IABIED) is a book by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares, released in September 2025.
- This markets refers to official publication in Mandarin Chinese language by a mainstream book publisher, not self publication or community created translations released on the Internet.
- E-book or audio book versions count as well.
- Zvi house rules apply.
Açık piyasalar
AI
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+21.1pt73.8%
- September 23+4.1pt10.3%
- September 24-2.7pt7.5%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺11,5 Mn
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-3.0pt28%
- Mark Carney-2.0pt20%
- Donald Trump-1.0pt10%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺73,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺247 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,2 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.1pt68.9%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt15.5%
- Gemini-1.6pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺574,5 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 2026+0.2pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,7 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.3pt98%
- Google-0.1pt1%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Best AI this week
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2027-01-01 to 2027-06-30 için 72.1% fiyatlıyor.
- Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies (shortened as IABIED) is a book by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares, released in September 2025.