Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 75.4%
Tahminciler
45
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli19 May 25 17:53 UTC31 Ara 30 18:50 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden dies from prostate cancer.
- Verification will be based on official statements from Biden's family, his personal office, or reputable news organizations such as the Financial Times (ft.com).
- If no such confirmation is available, the market will resolve to "NA".
- If Joe Biden dies from other causes then the market resolves to “No.”
- Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to Yes if prostate cancer is a major contributing factor to Joe Biden's death.
