Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 93.7%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Mar 26 15:27 UTC1 Oca 31 15:22 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a non-Mersenne prime become the largest known prime at some point before 2030-01-01?
Manifold MarketsWill a new mersenne prime be found in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew Mersenne Prime found before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
KalshiAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- 52 Mersenne primes are known, with the largest known prime number being 2^136279841 − 1, which is a Mersenne prime.
- This market resolves YES if M136279841 is confirmed as the 52nd known Mersenne prime.
- Resolution can be verified at the official GIMPS website: https://www.mersenne.org/primes
- M136279841 was initially identified as probably prime on October 11, 2024 by an NVIDIA A100 GPU in Dublin, Ireland, and confirmed with a Lucas-Lehmer test on October 12 by an NVIDIA H100 in San Antonio, Texas.
- This number has 41,024,320 decimal digits and is over 16 million digits larger than the previous record prime number.