Is it extremely likely Democrats will win the house in 2026 midterm elections?
39.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri1ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiYes, Democrats will win a clear majority 89%+39.0pt3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+39.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Kas 26 06:46 UTC31 Ara 26 11:00 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve YES or NO independently based on official certification and election returns from the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections (concluding with the seating of the 120th Congress in January 2027).
- The official seat count will be verified via the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives or major election reporting consensus (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ).
- The total voting membership of the U.S. House of Representatives is 435 seats (218 required for an outright majority).
- Options resolve as follows:
