Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 67%
Tahminciler
19
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli7 Nis 25 20:59 UTC15 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Manifold MarketsTrump administration does another regime change after removing Venezuela's Maduro?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
- It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
- Happy to clarify edge cases.
