Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2029 7%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli10 Eki 23 05:27 UTC1 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What new playable Super Smash Brothers characters will be added by 2028? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
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Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson ever attain a "higher status" in US politics? If so - when? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsHow will Trump serve time?
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
A derivative market of @/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
- Note that this is not just about when Trump begins serving time, but also about in which years he will still be serving time before his release/death.
- This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any year in which trump is serving a custodial sentence will resolve Yes.
