Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2029 7%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli10 Eki 23 05:27 UTC1 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How will Trump serve time?
Manifold MarketsWhat new playable Super Smash Brothers characters will be added by 2028? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurWill the Live-Action Legend of Zelda movie be “Certified Fresh” on Rotten Tomatoes? [Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsTrump To Serve Second Term In Full
SmarketsDonald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030
SmarketsKurallar
A derivative market of @/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
- Note that this is not just about when Trump begins serving time, but also about in which years he will still be serving time before his release/death.
- This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any year in which trump is serving a custodial sentence will resolve Yes.
Açık piyasalar
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice] için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2029 için 7% fiyatlıyor.
- In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice] ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice] için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2029.
- In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice] nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A derivative market of @/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned