Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
2024 100%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
46 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli7 Ara 24 20:06 UTC1 Oca 31 06:59 UTC
Trendler
100%
100%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Insomnia Cookies have declared bankruptcy by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Crumbl Cookies survives as long as they
- Maintain storefronts branded as Crumbl Cookies or similar ("Crumble" would be acceptable, "Utah Baking Company" would not be) that sells cookies
- Have not filed for bankruptcy protection
- Have not been acquired by another company
- The market will resolve NO for a given year if any of the above criteria are not met, or if Crumbl Cookies ceases operations entirely.
- Resolves YES if they survive through the end of the year.
Açık piyasalar
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺132,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,9 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+50.1pt99%
- No-50.1pt1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.1pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
Sık sorulan sorular
- In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2024 için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Crumbl Cookies survives as long as they