Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 94%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Ağu 24 08:57 UTC2 Oca 30 04:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
In 2030, a majority of experts will look back and agree that there was not significant justification for believing with greater than 90% confidence that Llama 3.1 405 would not provide the foundation for nefarious actors to produce existentially risky artificially intelligent systems.
- Will resolve to a consensus of experts in 2030.
- If no clear data exists that demonstrates the opinion of experts, a poll will be used for resolution.
