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Play-money forecasting platform
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Guncelligini yitirmis21 Tem 24 13:42 UTC1 Oca 28 22:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
KalshiKurallar
Trump has promised no tax on tips, saying it will be "first thing in office"^1.
- It is also part of the republican party platform^2.
- If Trump is elected, will there be no tax on tips by 1st Jan 2028? It doesn't have to be 100% no tax ever paid on any tip but I will resolve according to my wisdom.
- Something like this heuristic: if I go to America to randomish place, and do my normal stuff and pay tips, will at least 70% of instances go lawfully untaxed.
- If Trump is not elected, resolves N/A. 1. https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/trump-plan-end-taxes-tips-skepticism-1235062544/ 2. https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/2024-republican-party-platform
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+3.1pt100%
- $25M+5.9pt99%
- $50M+12.3pt99%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺109 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺93,3 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺43,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.9pt98%
- Dan McKee+1.0pt2%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺38,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.5pt19%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+1.0pt47.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺583,1 Mn
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Sık sorulan sorular
- If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Trump has promised no tax on tips, saying it will be "first thing in office"^1.