Güncel topluluk tahmini
Government forms without a second election 56.3%3 seçenek arasında lider
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Eki 26 13:43 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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The recent Knesset election in Israel resulted in no coalition achieving a majority of seats.
- Will a government manage to form or will there be a second election? If there is another election, will the Arab parties manage to repeat their impressive performance in the first election?
- If a Prime Minister is sworn in, this market resolves to "the named outcome" even if that government only lasts a very short amount of time and another election ends up happening.
- I think the current figure of 19 seats for the Arab parties is still provisional as a few votes are still to be counted.
- In the unlikely event this changes, this market resolves according to the "19 or more/fewer than 19 seats" criteria, not the actual number of seats.
- By "Arab parties" I mean Joint List and United Arab List (Ra'am).
