If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?
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24 Eki 2026 13:22 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsBy when will the Wikipedia page "Gaza genocide" be deleted or retitled?
Manifold MarketsJumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketCambria listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) in the case "Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.
- Israel)" rules that Israel is not committing genocide, and then this is featured on Wikipedia's main page (for example, on the "In the News" part) within 30 days of the ruling.
- The official ruling date will be determined by the date of publication on the ICJ's website.
- This market will resolve to "No" if, following such a ruling by the ICJ, there is no such mention of this the "In the news" section of the English Wikipedia main page within 30 days of the ruling.
- This market will resolve to "N/A" if the International Court of Justice does not issue a ruling in the case "Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.
