Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 55.3%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Eyl 26 15:34 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiWhich Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent
KalshiWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.
- Resolves NO if a snap election is held in that window and the AfD wins half or fewer of the seats.
- Resolves N/A if no snap election is held by then.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.