If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate end the legislative filibuster before January 3, 2029?
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15 Eki 2026 12:57 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Condition: Republicans control the U.S. Senate when the 120th Congress convenes on January 3, 2027: Republican senators hold at least 50 seats (with the Republican Vice President breaking ties).
- Otherwise this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if, before January 3, 2029, the Senate changes its rules or sets a precedent so that ordinary legislation (or a whole category of it) can pass with a simple majority instead of needing 60 votes for cloture.
- Existing exceptions (nominations, budget reconciliation) and one-off waivers for a single bill do not count.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the Senate.
