If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
PolitikaOne-OffABD Siyaseti1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 75.3%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Eki 26 02:14 UTC2 Oca 28 17:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 23, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/16-10/23)
KalshiKurallar
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if VoteHub's polling average of Donald Trump's job approval is 40.0% or higher for January 1, 2028 (the value VoteHub shows for that date).
- If VoteHub's average is unavailable, uses the RealClearPolling average instead.
- Resolves NO otherwise, and N/A if Trump is not President on that date.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
