Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 96.7%
Evet 96.7%Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli3 Şub 23 04:42 UTC1 Oca 01 04:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if:
- I find out that @IsaacKing is dead or incapacitated for at least a year AND
- In the year following his incapacitation or death, at least 3 of his markets, or 50% of his markets that closed in that yearlong period (whichever is fewer), are resolved
- Resolves NO if I find out that Isaac is dead/incapacitated but the second YES condition isn't met in the year following his death/incapacitation.
- It doesn't matter who resolves the markets; it could be Isaac's partner, Manifold employees, a community resolution consensus, a computer program, or anything else.
