Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 96.7%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Şub 23 04:42 UTC1 Oca 01 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill Isaac King set his curtain on fire?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about Isaac's job market?
Manifold MarketsBurger King Foot Traffic in September
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketLargest Company end of September?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if:
- I find out that @IsaacKing is dead or incapacitated for at least a year AND
- In the year following his incapacitation or death, at least 3 of his markets, or 50% of his markets that closed in that yearlong period (whichever is fewer), are resolved
- Resolves NO if I find out that Isaac is dead/incapacitated but the second YES condition isn't met in the year following his death/incapacitation.
- It doesn't matter who resolves the markets; it could be Isaac's partner, Manifold employees, a community resolution consensus, a computer program, or anything else.
Açık piyasalar
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M97%
- $25M94%
- $50M87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+5.0pt54.5%
- 65-89+11.0pt37.6%
- 90-114+2.0pt5%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.5pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.1pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,3 Mn
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- If Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- If Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- If Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2101.
- If Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if: