If Democrats win a trifecta in 2028, will they expand the Supreme Court by 2032
PolitikaOne-OffTeknolojiABD SiyasetiSeçim5y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 82%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Oca 26 21:01 UTC31 Ara 31 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
KalshiWill we achieve AGI before Democrats win their next trifecta?
Manifold MarketsIf the Supreme Court has more than 9 justices, was it because of democrats or republicans?
Manifold MarketsWhat will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
KalshiAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketKurallar
This market relates to a prediction made by Colin Wright on X, challenged by Matthew Yglesias, regarding Democratic governance strategies.
- This market resolves to YES if:
- The Democratic Party wins a "trifecta" in the 2028 U.S. General Elections (winning the Presidency and holding majorities in both the House of Representatives and the Senate at the start of the 121st Congress in 2029).
- AND, before January 20, 2033, legislation is enacted that increases the statutory number of seats on the Supreme Court of the United States above nine.
- Resolution Details:
- *NO:** If Democrats win a trifecta in 2028 but the statutory size of the Supreme Court remains at nine (or fewer) seats through the end of that presidential term.