Güncel topluluk tahmini
1+ OpenAI employees resign 53.8%+3.8pt9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
48
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+3.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Eyl 26 08:16 UTC3 Eki 26 06:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PolymarketAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the number of full-time employees of OpenAI or Anthropic who voluntarily resign, citing ethical reasons (including but not limited to risks of human extinction or disempowerment), or publicly announce that they will do so, during the month of September 2026, Pacific Time.
- Jacob Coxon counts as one such person for the purposes of this market.
- See his tweet about resigning from Anthropic, which went viral with 712K+ likes as of September 10.
- His resignation was covered in the Wall Street Journal.
- I'll wait for two extra days, in case any resignations happen during September but are only publicized later.
Açık piyasalar
Sports
KALSHISekulic vs Matsuda
- Philip Sekulic59.2%
- Koki Matsuda+6.0pt40.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺256,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
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KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Joaquin Niemann+17.7pt18.2%
- Rory McIlroy+3.0pt13.2%
- Shane Lowry+6.0pt7.4%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R14.4%
- Buffalo+1.0pt7.6%
- Seattle-1.0pt5.9%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHITampa Bay vs Atlanta
- Atlanta+3.0pt56.4%
- Tampa Bay-4.0pt43.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺145,1 Mn
KALSHIFenerbahce vs Roma
- Tie+13.0pt41%
- Roma-8.0pt38%
- Fenerbahce-8.0pt21%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺142,2 Mn
KALSHISan Francisco vs Los Angeles R
- Los Angeles R64.4%
- San Francisco35.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺170,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺107,9 Mn
- FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
- Trevisan vs Maristany Zuleta de Reales
- Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir
- Amgen Irish Open End of Round 1 Leader
- Eindhoven vs Shakhtar
- Tampa Bay vs Atlanta: Total Runs
- Lagutin vs Alcala Gurri
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Bayern Munich vs Bodoe/Glimt
- MVP Winner?
- Florida A&M vs Miami (FL)
Sık sorulan sorular
- How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 1+ OpenAI employees resign için 54% fiyatlıyor.
- How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Ekim 2026.
- How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria