Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
29 Eki 2026 13:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 62.8%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
dün güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Eki 25 00:24 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?
Manifold MarketsBy when will the Wikipedia page "Gaza genocide" be deleted or retitled?
Manifold MarketsWill the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on January 1, 2030, the English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gaza genocide" (or any successor article primarily covering the same events) prominently uses the term "genocide" to describe Israel's genocide in Gaza.
- This includes its use in the article's title, its lead section, or a dedicated infobox within the article.
- The resolution will be determined by examining the live version of the article on en.wikipedia.org at 12:00 AM UTC on January 1, 2030.
- If the article is unavailable or significantly altered, an archived version from archive.org as close as possible to the resolution date will be used.
- If no such article exists, or if the term "genocide" is not prominently used to describe Israel's actions in Gaza as per the criteria above, the market will resolve to "No."
