Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 51%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Ağu 23 15:52 UTC2 Oca 33 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
[Temporary market to group comments and feedback.
- I'll adjust the description and terms before officially starting it.
- If lots of people bet before it starts I may NA this one and make another one.
- There will be a series of markets about geoengineering covering different time scales and different organizations doing the work such as the usgov, in, EU, China, as well as other private companies.
- Please let me know what you think here or in discord]
- Musk, an existing company he founded, or a future company he founds will announce actual projects happening to do very large scale geoengineering to effect or relieve global warming by removing carbon from the atmosphere, or by reducing light absorption to the atmosphere using solar sails or umbrellas, or by emitting sulfur to reflect more light, or other project large scale.
Açık piyasalar
China
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+2.0pt78.6%
- Puerto Rico-1.0pt21.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺21,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.0pt68%
- Moonshot-5.0pt27%
- Z.ai+2.3pt4%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺635,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺860,4 B
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Total
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 51% fiyatlıyor.
- [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2033.
- [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: [Temporary market to group comments and feedback.