Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 63%
Tahminciler
95
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Kas 22 15:41 UTC1 Oca 00 05:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Does Nectome's preservation protocol work?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
PolymarketKurallar
If any human who has been cryonically-preserved prior to market creation is successfully revived, this resolves to YES.
- (This means that the revived person must behave nearly identically to the person they were before the preservation, with the same memories, personality, etc. Minor changes such as having forgotten the short-term memories created right before their death are fine.
- What matters is whether people who knew them before their death would reasonably say "yup, that's Bob".
- Philosophical arguments that they're not the "same person" due to the cessation of brain activity or being made out of different molecules are irrelevant.)
- If the state of science and technology advances to the point where we can state without any doubt whatsoever that there is not enough information left in those preserved brains to revive someone who could reasonably be called the same person, or that the information does exist but fundamental laws of physics prevent us from accessing it or using it to recreate the person, this market resolves to NO.
- If all preserved brains that exist as of market creation in the top 10% of preservation quality are destroyed and none of the brains in worse shape are able to be reanimated, this resolves N/A. (Preservation quality determined by factors like how long they spent at room temperature before being frozen, how damaged the brain was by physical trauma, the state of vitrification technology used on them, etc.)
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+70.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-26.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺33,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32,2 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+40.0pt99%
- Houston+68.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+12.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+56.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-4.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-47.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+63.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+49.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-37.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-7.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 63% fiyatlıyor.
- Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2200.
- Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If any human who has been cryonically-preserved prior to market creation is successfully revived, this resolves to YES.