Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 70.4%
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15
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Tem 26 04:56 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
One year later, how will Manifold users view the effects of arXiv's separation from Cornell University?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
Manifold MarketsAt the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will have a strongly negative opinion of Scott Alexander?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketKurallar
I will open a yes/no poll titled "Is Model UN is dumb?" when this market closes (end of 2026).
- The poll will go on for 10 days and the market will resolve to the majority's vote.
- For context, Model UN stands for Model United Nations:
- It's mostly a high school activity
- Basically a simulation of the real United Nations where students, called "delegates" are each assigned a country to represent (roleplay...)
- For each conference, a group of "delegates" (there are often hundreds of delegates per group) are assigned a topic to adress
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
- Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I will open a yes/no poll titled "Is Model UN is dumb?" when this market closes (end of 2026).