Did the NSA work to weaken post-quantum cryptography? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 25 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 59.8% fiyatlıyor.

Did the NSA work to weaken post-quantum cryptography? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Did the NSA work to weaken post-quantum cryptography? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2032.

KriptoOne-Off5y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 59.8%

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Soru türü

binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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1 saat önce güncellendi

Gecikmeli

5 Ağu 22 23:19 UTC1 Oca 32 06:59 UTC

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Did the NSA interfere with the NIST PQC standardization process with the intent of making the resulting cryptosystem more susceptible to attack?

This market resolves to MKT shortly after close---early January 2032.
There will be no early resolution.
(Otherwise there would be too strong of a bias towards YES.)
I may resolve the market by hand, rather than to MKT, if there's evidence that the market isn't functioning correctly.
For instance, if overwhelming evidence is clearly being ignored, if the market is far from the consensus of crypto professionals, etc. The purpose of this disclaimer is to make sure the Keynesian beauty contest stays on track.